How Will The 2024 Election Play Out? - Nate Silver - #846

About this episode

Nate Silver is a statistician, writer of Silver Bulletin, and Founder of FiveThirtyEight. No one truly knows who will win an election, but if anyone does, it's Nate. He is the man behind the most accurate, sophisticated polling data assessments in America and has an insight into modern culture like no one else. Expect to learn why this election cycle differs from other ones, just how complex election prediction models are, what the most important topics of this election are, whether there is ever a chance for a 3rd party option to become president, the role of the media in determining who wins and much more… Sponsors: See discounts for all the products I use and recommend: https://chriswillx.com/deals Get $350 off the Pod 4 Ultra at https://eightsleep.com/modernwisdom (use code MODERNWISDOM) Get the Whoop 4.0 for free and get your first month for free at https://join.whoop.com/modernwisdom (automatically applied at checkout) Get a 20% discount on Nomatic’s amazing luggage at https://nomatic.com/modernwisdom (automatically applied at checkout) Timestamps: (00:00) How Nate Mastered Sports Betting (04:01) Models Used to Predict Elections (08:03) The Way People Vote Today (11:02) Why Kamala Harris Isn’t Appearing on Podcasts (14:54) Do Debates Change People’s Minds? (17:22) The Impact of Running Mates (23:53) Have the Assassination Attempts Impacted the Election? (30:16) The States That Decide the Election (32:50) Likelihood of a Third-Party Candidate Being Elected (37:39) The Power of ‘the Village & the River’ (44:48) Nate’s Experiences With Sam Bankman-Fried (49:24) Why Crypto Investors Are More Likely to Be Scammed (56:29) Psychology of High Risk-Takers (01:01:54) The Price You Pay to Be Nate Silver (01:04:30) Nate’s Core Values (01:10:13) Where to Find Nate Extra Stuff: Get my free reading list of 100 books to read before you die: https://chriswillx.com/books Try my productivity energy drink Neutonic: https://neutonic.com/modernwisdom Nate's Newsletter - Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/ Episodes You Might Enjoy: This Is How To Master Your Life - David Goggins - #577: ⁠⁠⁠lnkfi.re/SN-Goggins⁠⁠⁠ How To Destroy Your Negative Beliefs - Dr Jordan Peterson - #712: ⁠⁠⁠lnkfi.re/SN-Peterson⁠⁠⁠ The Secret Tools To Hack Your Brain - Dr Andrew Huberman - #700: ⁠⁠⁠lnkfi.re/SN-Huberman⁠⁠ - Get In Touch: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chriswillx Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/chriswillx YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/modernwisdompodcast Email: https://chriswillx.com/contact - Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices